António Guterres serves as UN Secretary-General through the end of his second five-year term on December 31, 2026, with the formal successor selection process now underway via joint letters from the Security Council and General Assembly presidents. He has publicly described 2026 as his final year in office while outlining ongoing priorities on conflict resolution, multilateral reform, and institutional priorities without signaling any intent to depart early. No major diplomatic crises, health developments, or member-state campaigns have emerged to pressure an accelerated exit, and historical precedent favors incumbents completing full terms absent extraordinary circumstances. Trader consensus reflected in the 72.5% “No” price aligns with these structural timelines and Guterres’ confirmed commitment to serve through the scheduled handover in January 2027.