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icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 69%

Callum Turner 5.0%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

James Norton 2.5%

Polymarket

$2,075,001 Vol.

No Bond chosen 69%

Callum Turner 5.0%

Jacob Elordi 2.9%

James Norton 2.5%

Polymarket

$2,075,001 Vol.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$263,204 Vol.

69%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$133,499 Vol.

5%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$250,612 Vol.

3%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$116,455 Vol.

3%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$106,357 Vol.

2%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$35,385 Vol.

2%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$150,764 Vol.

1%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$304,985 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$36,815 Vol.

1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$219,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$79,457 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$184,327 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$71,003 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$83,790 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$38,599 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors "No Bond chosen" at 69% implied probability after Amazon MGM Studios' CinemaCon remarks last week (April 16-21, 2026) explicitly confirmed no actor has been cast for James Bond 26, with executives emphasizing a deliberate, respectful process amid Denis Villeneuve's Dune 3 commitments and Steven Knight's actor-agnostic script. This quells short-term announcement speculation, prioritizing quality over haste post-Daniel Craig era. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.7% edge reflects persistent betting frontrunner status from sites like Kalshi and his coy Berlinale response to rumors in February, while James Norton and Jacob Elordi's 2.9% ties draw from recent tipster buzz. Casting momentum awaits mid-2026, per reports, with historical Bond secrecy amplifying uncertainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,075,001
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors "No Bond chosen" at 69% implied probability after Amazon MGM Studios' CinemaCon remarks last week (April 16-21, 2026) explicitly confirmed no actor has been cast for James Bond 26, with executives emphasizing a deliberate, respectful process amid Denis Villeneuve's Dune 3 commitments and Steven Knight's actor-agnostic script. This quells short-term announcement speculation, prioritizing quality over haste post-Daniel Craig era. Among contenders, Callum Turner's 4.7% edge reflects persistent betting frontrunner status from sites like Kalshi and his coy Berlinale response to rumors in February, while James Norton and Jacob Elordi's 2.9% ties draw from recent tipster buzz. Casting momentum awaits mid-2026, per reports, with historical Bond secrecy amplifying uncertainty.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,075,001
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 69%, followed by "Callum Turner" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 69¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next James Bond actor?" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "No Bond chosen" at 69%, meaning the market assigns a 69% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Callum Turner" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.