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icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

icon for Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 43%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 34%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU 33%

MOULIN by László NEMES 33%

Polymarket
NEW

HOPE by NA Hong-jin 43%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV 34%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU 33%

MOULIN by László NEMES 33%

Polymarket
NEW

HOPE by NA Hong-jin

$0 Vol.

43%

MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV

$0 Vol.

34%

FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU

$0 Vol.

33%

MOULIN by László NEMES

$0 Vol.

33%

THE BIRTHDAY PARTY by Léa MYSIUS

$0 Vol.

32%

A WOMAN'S LIFE by Charline BOURGEOIS-TACQUET

$0 Vol.

31%

EL SER QUERIDO by Rodrigo SOROGOYEN (THE BELOVED)

$0 Vol.

31%

THE MAN I LOVE by Ira SACHS

$0 Vol.

31%

ANOTHER DAY by Jeanne HERRY

$0 Vol.

30%

AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR

$0 Vol.

30%

PARALLEL TALES by Asghar FARHADI

$0 Vol.

30%

SHEEP IN THE BOX by KORE-EDA Hirokazu

$1 Vol.

30%

NOTRE SALUT by Emmanuel MARRE

$0 Vol.

29%

FATHERLAND by Pawel PAWLIKOWSKI

$24 Vol.

29%

LA BOLA NEGRA by Javier CALVO & Javier AMBROSSI

$23 Vol.

28%

NAGI NOTES by FUKADA Koji

$0 Vol.

28%

COWARD by Lukas DHONT

$0 Vol.

28%

THE UNKNOWN by Arthur HARARI

$0 Vol.

27%

GENTLE MONSTER by Marie KREUTZER

$0 Vol.

15%

ALL OF A SUDDEN by HAMAGUCHI Ryusuke

$163 Vol.

13%

DAS GETRÄUMTE ABENTEUER by Valeska GRISEBACH

$17 Vol.

29%

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$227
End Date
May 23, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.

The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$227
End Date
May 23, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 16, 2026, 2:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Cannes Film Festival is held annually in Cannes, France. The 2026 Cannes Film Festival is scheduled to be held on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the Palme d'Or award at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the Cannes Film Festival and the official Cannes Film Festival website (https://www.festival-cannes.com/en/live/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 43%, followed by "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" is "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Cannes Film Festival: Palme d'Or Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.