Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a modest $2.5-3 million opening weekend for Andy Serkis' animated Animal Farm adaptation (48.5% implied probability), reflecting sharp downward revisions in tracking estimates from early $5-7 million forecasts. Dismal critical reception, with a Rotten Tomatoes score hovering around 25-30% on initial reviews, has tanked buzz—critics decry the family-friendly dilution of George Orwell's sharp political satire into crude, predictable plotting. Slowing presales, limited social media traction, and stiff competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's projected $70 million-plus debut further suppress expectations for Angel Studios' wide May 1 release. Late walkups from the distributor's faith-based core could lift toward $3-3.5 million, but review suppression poses downside risk ahead of May 3 grosses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Animal Farm" Opening Weekend Box Office
3.5-4m 47%
2.5-3m 47%
>4m 16%
<2m 0
<2m
28%
2-2.5m
31%
2.5-3m
47%
3-3.5m
32%
3.5-4m
29%
>4m
16%
3.5-4m 47%
2.5-3m 47%
>4m 16%
<2m 0
<2m
28%
2-2.5m
31%
2.5-3m
47%
3-3.5m
32%
3.5-4m
29%
>4m
16%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a modest $2.5-3 million opening weekend for Andy Serkis' animated Animal Farm adaptation (48.5% implied probability), reflecting sharp downward revisions in tracking estimates from early $5-7 million forecasts. Dismal critical reception, with a Rotten Tomatoes score hovering around 25-30% on initial reviews, has tanked buzz—critics decry the family-friendly dilution of George Orwell's sharp political satire into crude, predictable plotting. Slowing presales, limited social media traction, and stiff competition from The Devil Wears Prada 2's projected $70 million-plus debut further suppress expectations for Angel Studios' wide May 1 release. Late walkups from the distributor's faith-based core could lift toward $3-3.5 million, but review suppression poses downside risk ahead of May 3 grosses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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