Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU event film reuniting key talent under the Russo brothers, with Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives massive opening weeks. Industry polls of hundreds of insiders have positioned it as the year's top global earner, with strong long-lead tracking and comparisons to past Avengers peaks reinforcing expectations for record-setting performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 25.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and its July 31 slot, though it lacks the same team-up scale or holiday boost. Lower-probability titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect already-completed April openings and more modest tracking, while family sequels such as Toy Story 5 face typical seasonal competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.7%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
24%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
5%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
The Odyssey
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 14%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 4.7%
Toy Story 5 1.9%
$21,102 Vol.
$21,102 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,333 Vol.
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,191 Vol.
24%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,333 Vol.
5%
Toy Story 5
$816 Vol.
2%
Dune: Messiah
$1,062 Vol.
1%
The Odyssey
$1,213 Vol.
1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU event film reuniting key talent under the Russo brothers, with Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives massive opening weeks. Industry polls of hundreds of insiders have positioned it as the year's top global earner, with strong long-lead tracking and comparisons to past Avengers peaks reinforcing expectations for record-setting performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 25.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and its July 31 slot, though it lacks the same team-up scale or holiday boost. Lower-probability titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect already-completed April openings and more modest tracking, while family sequels such as Toy Story 5 face typical seasonal competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volumen
$21,102Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU event film reuniting key talent under the Russo brothers, with Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives massive opening weeks. Industry polls of hundreds of insiders have positioned it as the year's top global earner, with strong long-lead tracking and comparisons to past Avengers peaks reinforcing expectations for record-setting performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 25.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and its July 31 slot, though it lacks the same team-up scale or holiday boost. Lower-probability titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect already-completed April openings and more modest tracking, while family sequels such as Toy Story 5 face typical seasonal competition.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$21,102Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment at 73.5% implied probability due to its status as a major MCU event film reuniting key talent under the Russo brothers, with Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom and a December 18, 2026 holiday release that historically drives massive opening weeks. Industry polls of hundreds of insiders have positioned it as the year's top global earner, with strong long-lead tracking and comparisons to past Avengers peaks reinforcing expectations for record-setting performance. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 25.5% on the strength of Tom Holland's franchise appeal and its July 31 slot, though it lacks the same team-up scale or holiday boost. Lower-probability titles like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reflect already-completed April openings and more modest tracking, while family sequels such as Toy Story 5 face typical seasonal competition.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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