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Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

icon for Newark Mayoral Election
Elections·Mayoral Elections

Newark Mayoral Election

Ras Baraka 96.8%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.9%

Louis Shockley <1%

Tanisha Garner <1%

Polymarket

$21,284 Vol.

Ras Baraka 96.8%

Asha Coates-Hamlet 1.9%

Louis Shockley <1%

Tanisha Garner <1%

Polymarket

$21,284 Vol.

Ras Baraka

$3,779 Vol.

97%

Asha Coates-Hamlet

$4,359 Vol.

2%

Louis Shockley

$1,769 Vol.

1%

Tanisha Garner

$1,443 Vol.

1%

Noble Milton

$3,293 Vol.

<1%

Debra Salters

$1,356 Vol.

<1%

Sheila Montague

$1,560 Vol.

<1%

Nasheedah Singleton

$1,193 Vol.

<1%

Douglas Davis

$1,100 Vol.

<1%

Jhamar Youngblood

$1,432 Vol.

<1%

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 96.8% trader consensus in the Newark nonpartisan municipal election set for May 12, driven by his strong record over three terms, including a 60-year crime low, replacement of 23,000 lead service lines at no resident cost, and a 57% homelessness drop, as highlighted in his April 1 rally at NJPAC. Facing seven minor challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline—none viewed as credible threats—Baraka benefits from endorsements like the NJ Working Families Party and low expected turnout favoring the incumbent machine. Recent candidate forums underscore the lopsided race, with no polls indicating competition. Upsets could arise from late scandals, voter mobilization shifts, or corruption allegations gaining traction, though structural barriers remain high.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$21,284
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 96.8% trader consensus in the Newark nonpartisan municipal election set for May 12, driven by his strong record over three terms, including a 60-year crime low, replacement of 23,000 lead service lines at no resident cost, and a 57% homelessness drop, as highlighted in his April 1 rally at NJPAC. Facing seven minor challengers certified after the February 26 filing deadline—none viewed as credible threats—Baraka benefits from endorsements like the NJ Working Families Party and low expected turnout favoring the incumbent machine. Recent candidate forums underscore the lopsided race, with no polls indicating competition. Upsets could arise from late scandals, voter mobilization shifts, or corruption allegations gaining traction, though structural barriers remain high.

The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
Volume
$21,284
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Newark Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ras Baraka" at 97%, followed by "Asha Coates-Hamlet" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Newark Mayoral Election" has generated $21.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Newark Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Newark Mayoral Election" is "Ras Baraka" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Asha Coates-Hamlet" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Newark Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.