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New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Cory Booker 97.2%

Gregory Tomaini 1.3%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Cory Booker 97.2%

Gregory Tomaini 1.3%

Saxon Callahan <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Cory Booker

$6,463 Vol.

97%

Gregory Tomaini

$1,099 Vol.

12%

Saxon Callahan

$1,847 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Cory Booker dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to win New Jersey's Democratic Senate primary on June 2, 2026, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage in a safely Democratic state and the absence of credible challengers. Recent filings confirmed minor candidates like Gregory Tomaini on the ballot, while others such as Saxon Callahan withdrew and community organizer Chris Fields fell short of required petition signatures by early April, solidifying Booker's unopposed path. No polling or campaign developments in the past month have shifted sentiment, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-certainty. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unlikely write-in surge could theoretically challenge this, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,409
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Senator Cory Booker dominates trader consensus at 97% implied probability to win New Jersey's Democratic Senate primary on June 2, 2026, reflecting his strong incumbency advantage in a safely Democratic state and the absence of credible challengers. Recent filings confirmed minor candidates like Gregory Tomaini on the ballot, while others such as Saxon Callahan withdrew and community organizer Chris Fields fell short of required petition signatures by early April, solidifying Booker's unopposed path. No polling or campaign developments in the past month have shifted sentiment, underscoring the wisdom of crowds in pricing near-certainty. Late-breaking scandals, health issues, or an unlikely write-in surge could theoretically challenge this, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey.

If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$9,409
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Jersey. If no 2026 New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Jersey Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cory Booker" at 97%, followed by "Gregory Tomaini" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Nov 26, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Cory Booker" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gregory Tomaini" at 12%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Jersey Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.