Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 94.5% trader consensus as the Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner against Washoe County Commission Chair Alexis Hill's 3.5%, driven by consistent polling leads—such as a Change Research survey showing Ford at 48%—superior fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and statewide name recognition from his AG tenure. Recent catalysts include the Nevada Conservation League's endorsement last week and Ford's refusal of debate invitations, solidifying his path to the June 9 primary nomination amid Hill's fundraising disadvantages and Northern Nevada focus. While barriers to an upset remain high, a late-breaking scandal, major Hill endorsement, or primary turnout surge could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$17,945 Vol.
$17,945 Vol.
Aaron Ford
94%
Alexis Hill
3%
$17,945 Vol.
$17,945 Vol.
Aaron Ford
94%
Alexis Hill
3%
If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Nevada Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Nevada Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nevada Attorney General Aaron Ford commands 94.5% trader consensus as the Democratic gubernatorial primary frontrunner against Washoe County Commission Chair Alexis Hill's 3.5%, driven by consistent polling leads—such as a Change Research survey showing Ford at 48%—superior fundraising exceeding $2 million early, and statewide name recognition from his AG tenure. Recent catalysts include the Nevada Conservation League's endorsement last week and Ford's refusal of debate invitations, solidifying his path to the June 9 primary nomination amid Hill's fundraising disadvantages and Northern Nevada focus. While barriers to an upset remain high, a late-breaking scandal, major Hill endorsement, or primary turnout surge could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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