Skip to main content
icon for NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

icon for NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

NE-02 Republican Primary Winner

Brinker Harding 98.3%

Brett Lindstrom 1.0%

Dan Frei <1%

Polymarket

$31,963 Vol.

Brinker Harding 98.3%

Brett Lindstrom 1.0%

Dan Frei <1%

Polymarket

$31,963 Vol.

Brinker Harding

$6,678 Vol.

98%

Brett Lindstrom

$15,998 Vol.

1%

Dan Frei

$9,287 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 98% implied probability in the NE-02 Republican primary stems from his unopposed status after the March filing deadline passed without challengers, following former State Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal and no late entries from others like Dan Frei. Recent boosts include President Trump's "total endorsement" on April 14, NRCC backing, and joint House Republican leadership support, solidifying trader consensus on his path to the nomination ahead of the May 12 primary. While skin-in-the-game odds reflect virtual certainty, rare disruptions such as a disqualification, withdrawal, health event, or extraordinary write-in effort could shift the outcome before ballots are finalized.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$31,963
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Omaha City Councilman Brinker Harding's commanding 98% implied probability in the NE-02 Republican primary stems from his unopposed status after the March filing deadline passed without challengers, following former State Sen. Brett Lindstrom's January withdrawal and no late entries from others like Dan Frei. Recent boosts include President Trump's "total endorsement" on April 14, NRCC backing, and joint House Republican leadership support, solidifying trader consensus on his path to the nomination ahead of the May 12 primary. While skin-in-the-game odds reflect virtual certainty, rare disruptions such as a disqualification, withdrawal, health event, or extraordinary write-in effort could shift the outcome before ballots are finalized.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$31,963
End Date
May 12, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 25, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 12, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Related

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Brinker Harding" at 98%, followed by "Brett Lindstrom" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" has generated $32K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" is "Brinker Harding" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brett Lindstrom" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NE-02 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.