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Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Peggy Flanagan 75%

Angie Craig 19%

David Wellstone 2.1%

Jacob Frey <1%

Polymarket

$41,775 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan 75%

Angie Craig 19%

David Wellstone 2.1%

Jacob Frey <1%

Polymarket

$41,775 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan

$4,698 Vol.

75%

Angie Craig

$5,626 Vol.

19%

David Wellstone

$7,085 Vol.

2%

Jacob Frey

$1,424 Vol.

<1%

Melisa Hortman

$7,555 Vol.

<1%

Ilhan Omar

$5,800 Vol.

<1%

Betty McCollum

$4,126 Vol.

<1%

Melisa López Franzen

$1,797 Vol.

<1%

Keith Ellison

$1,910 Vol.

<1%

Steve Simon

$1,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's dominant position in recent Minnesota DFL Senate primary polling—up 13 points over Rep. Angie Craig in April surveys—and her lead in delegate counts from over 90% of precinct caucuses have solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for her as the nominee in the open seat race after Sen. Tina Smith's retirement. Flanagan's momentum stems from endorsements by Smith, Bernie Sanders, and Minnesota Young DFL, positioning her for the influential state party endorsement at the upcoming convention. Craig's 18.5% reflects her fundraising edge but trails amid immigration policy clashes, including her Laken Riley Act vote. The August 11 primary remains the decisive contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,775
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's dominant position in recent Minnesota DFL Senate primary polling—up 13 points over Rep. Angie Craig in April surveys—and her lead in delegate counts from over 90% of precinct caucuses have solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for her as the nominee in the open seat race after Sen. Tina Smith's retirement. Flanagan's momentum stems from endorsements by Smith, Bernie Sanders, and Minnesota Young DFL, positioning her for the influential state party endorsement at the upcoming convention. Craig's 18.5% reflects her fundraising edge but trails amid immigration policy clashes, including her Laken Riley Act vote. The August 11 primary remains the decisive contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,775
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Peggy Flanagan" at 75%, followed by "Angie Craig" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $41.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Peggy Flanagan" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angie Craig" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.