Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) U.S. Senate primary on August 11, driven by her dominance in recent polling—including a 13-point edge over Rep. Angie Craig released April 20—and overwhelming support at over 90% of 117 local DFL unit conventions, positioning her for the party's May endorsing convention. Craig holds 18.5% on strong fundraising advantages, such as her April lead over Flanagan, appealing to moderates amid immigration debates like her regretted Laken Riley Act vote. Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolsters Flanagan, while low-odds candidates like David Wellstone draw minor name recognition from his father's legacy, with the crowded field consolidating around the top two ahead of the filing deadline June 2.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPeggy Flanagan 75%
Angie Craig 19%
David Wellstone 2.1%
Jacob Frey <1%
$41,805 Vol.
$41,805 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
75%
Angie Craig
19%
David Wellstone
2%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
Peggy Flanagan 75%
Angie Craig 19%
David Wellstone 2.1%
Jacob Frey <1%
$41,805 Vol.
$41,805 Vol.
Peggy Flanagan
75%
Angie Craig
19%
David Wellstone
2%
Jacob Frey
<1%
Melisa Hortman
<1%
Betty McCollum
<1%
Ilhan Omar
<1%
Melisa López Franzen
<1%
Keith Ellison
<1%
Steve Simon
<1%
If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor (DFL) U.S. Senate primary on August 11, driven by her dominance in recent polling—including a 13-point edge over Rep. Angie Craig released April 20—and overwhelming support at over 90% of 117 local DFL unit conventions, positioning her for the party's May endorsing convention. Craig holds 18.5% on strong fundraising advantages, such as her April lead over Flanagan, appealing to moderates amid immigration debates like her regretted Laken Riley Act vote. Incumbent Sen. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolsters Flanagan, while low-odds candidates like David Wellstone draw minor name recognition from his father's legacy, with the crowded field consolidating around the top two ahead of the filing deadline June 2.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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