Skip to main content
icon for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Peggy Flanagan 75%

Angie Craig 19%

David Wellstone 2.1%

Ilhan Omar <1%

Polymarket

$41,805 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan 75%

Angie Craig 19%

David Wellstone 2.1%

Ilhan Omar <1%

Polymarket

$41,805 Vol.

Peggy Flanagan

$4,698 Vol.

75%

Angie Craig

$5,626 Vol.

19%

David Wellstone

$7,085 Vol.

2%

Ilhan Omar

$5,800 Vol.

1%

Jacob Frey

$1,424 Vol.

<1%

Melisa Hortman

$7,555 Vol.

<1%

Betty McCollum

$4,155 Vol.

<1%

Melisa López Franzen

$1,797 Vol.

<1%

Keith Ellison

$1,910 Vol.

<1%

Steve Simon

$1,756 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary stems from her 13-point polling edge over Rep. Angie Craig in an April survey and dominance at over 90% of 117 local DFL unit conventions, positioning her for the party's May endorsement—a key step in Minnesota's caucus-based primary system ahead of the August 11 vote. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolstered Flanagan's momentum among progressives, amplified by the Minnesota Young DFL's April backing, while Craig's fundraising advantage has been offset by primary attacks over her regretted Laken Riley Act vote amid immigration debates. Low odds for others like David Wellstone reflect minimal delegate or polling support in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,805
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's commanding lead in trader consensus for the Minnesota Democratic Senate primary stems from her 13-point polling edge over Rep. Angie Craig in an April survey and dominance at over 90% of 117 local DFL unit conventions, positioning her for the party's May endorsement—a key step in Minnesota's caucus-based primary system ahead of the August 11 vote. Tina Smith's February endorsement bolstered Flanagan's momentum among progressives, amplified by the Minnesota Young DFL's April backing, while Craig's fundraising advantage has been offset by primary attacks over her regretted Laken Riley Act vote amid immigration debates. Low odds for others like David Wellstone reflect minimal delegate or polling support in this open-seat race.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota.

If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$41,805
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%
icon for Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

44%
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Peggy Flanagan" at 75%, followed by "Angie Craig" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $41.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 2, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Peggy Flanagan" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Angie Craig" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.