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Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Jocelyn Benson 95%

Chris Swanson 5.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.4%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,512 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson 95%

Chris Swanson 5.1%

Garlin Gilchrist 1.4%

Marni Sawicki <1%

Polymarket

$12,512 Vol.

Jocelyn Benson

$8,316 Vol.

95%

Chris Swanson

$1,462 Vol.

5%

Garlin Gilchrist

$1,564 Vol.

1%

Marni Sawicki

$1,170 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by her dominant position in recent polls, including a Glengariff Group survey from April 17-19 showing her at 66% against Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson's 8%. As the highest-profile Democrat in the race following Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal to seek her current office, Benson benefits from strong name recognition, fundraising momentum, and control of the party's base amid limited challengers. While her lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, scenarios like a major scandal, late high-profile entry, health issues, or shifts in undecided voters could narrow the gap before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,512
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson commands overwhelming trader consensus at 95% implied probability to win Michigan's Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 4, driven by her dominant position in recent polls, including a Glengariff Group survey from April 17-19 showing her at 66% against Genesee County Sheriff Chris Swanson's 8%. As the highest-profile Democrat in the race following Lt. Gov. Garlin Gilchrist's January withdrawal to seek her current office, Benson benefits from strong name recognition, fundraising momentum, and control of the party's base amid limited challengers. While her lead reflects skin-in-the-game assessments, scenarios like a major scandal, late high-profile entry, health issues, or shifts in undecided voters could narrow the gap before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$12,512
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Michigan, scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Michigan Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jocelyn Benson" at 95%, followed by "Chris Swanson" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $12.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 10, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Jocelyn Benson" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chris Swanson" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michigan Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.