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Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

icon for Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 32%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.2%

Polymarket

$53,486 Vol.

Nirav Shah 39%

Troy Jackson 32%

Hannah Pingree 22%

Shenna Bellows 8.2%

Polymarket

$53,486 Vol.

Nirav Shah

$8,062 Vol.

39%

Troy Jackson

$8,118 Vol.

32%

Hannah Pingree

$4,950 Vol.

22%

Shenna Bellows

$5,290 Vol.

8%

Angus King III

$4,230 Vol.

5%

Jason Cherry

$19,316 Vol.

<1%

Kenneth Pinet

$3,521 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary, set for June 9, favors former CDC Director Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability, reflecting polls consistently showing his narrow lead from pandemic-era name recognition, ahead of Senate President Troy Jackson (30.5%) and former House Speaker Hannah Pingree (22%) in a fragmented field with over 25% undecided voters. Last night's first televised debate highlighted candidates praising outgoing Gov. Janet Mills' legacy while diverging on taxes, housing costs, and data center policies—coinciding with her U.S. Senate withdrawal—yet produced no clear frontrunner. Jackson's recent union endorsements and Pingree's fundraising strength sustain tightness under ranked-choice voting; post-debate polls, additional endorsements, or shifts among moderates and progressives could create separation before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$53,486
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus in the Maine Governor Democratic primary, set for June 9, favors former CDC Director Nirav Shah at 39% implied probability, reflecting polls consistently showing his narrow lead from pandemic-era name recognition, ahead of Senate President Troy Jackson (30.5%) and former House Speaker Hannah Pingree (22%) in a fragmented field with over 25% undecided voters. Last night's first televised debate highlighted candidates praising outgoing Gov. Janet Mills' legacy while diverging on taxes, housing costs, and data center policies—coinciding with her U.S. Senate withdrawal—yet produced no clear frontrunner. Jackson's recent union endorsements and Pingree's fundraising strength sustain tightness under ranked-choice voting; post-debate polls, additional endorsements, or shifts among moderates and progressives could create separation before early voting ramps up.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$53,486
End Date
Jun 9, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 10, 2025, 7:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Maine, scheduled to take place on June 9, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, followed by "Troy Jackson" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 39¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" has generated $53.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" is "Nirav Shah" at 39%, meaning the market assigns a 39% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Troy Jackson" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maine Governor Democratic Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.