Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 15 points to a minimum near 12–15 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a period of near-normal early-summer temperatures after May’s record warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any residual urban heat-island effect, producing the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest visible in market prices. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office’s London stations, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any evening updates that could shift the precise threshold by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de junio?
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
4%
12°C
44%
13°C
45%
14°C
6%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 45%
12°C 40%
14°C 6%
11°C 3.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
15 jun 2026
8°C or below
$111 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$55 Vol.
1%
11°C
$126 Vol.
4%
12°C
$119 Vol.
44%
13°C
$221 Vol.
45%
14°C
$197 Vol.
6%
15°C
$239 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$148 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$258 Vol.
<1%
18°C or higher
$154 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 15 points to a minimum near 12–15 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a period of near-normal early-summer temperatures after May’s record warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any residual urban heat-island effect, producing the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest visible in market prices. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office’s London stations, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any evening updates that could shift the precise threshold by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Volumen
$1,764Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 15 points to a minimum near 12–15 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a period of near-normal early-summer temperatures after May’s record warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any residual urban heat-island effect, producing the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest visible in market prices. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office’s London stations, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any evening updates that could shift the precise threshold by 1 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,764Fecha de finalización
15 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble guidance for London on June 15 points to a minimum near 12–15 °C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, following a period of near-normal early-summer temperatures after May’s record warmth. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in nocturnal radiative cooling rates, boundary-layer moisture, and the strength of any residual urban heat-island effect, producing the tight 12 °C versus 13 °C contest visible in market prices. With resolution hinging on the official overnight low reported by the Met Office’s London stations, traders are weighting the latest high-resolution runs and any evening updates that could shift the precise threshold by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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