Recent Met Office and European model consensus for London on June 14 points to a minimum temperature near 13°C, driven by mild south-easterly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and daytime highs around 20–23°C consistent with early-summer climatology. This positions 13°C as the overwhelming market favorite at 99% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable forecast guidance with narrow uncertainty ranges. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear-sky development overnight could enhance cooling and push readings to 12°C or below, while stronger warm advection might lift the minimum above 14°C; updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key near-term variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 14 de junio?
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,488 Vol.
$21,488 Vol.
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
13°C 99.0%
12°C 1.9%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
$21,488 Vol.
$21,488 Vol.
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and European model consensus for London on June 14 points to a minimum temperature near 13°C, driven by mild south-easterly flow, limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies, and daytime highs around 20–23°C consistent with early-summer climatology. This positions 13°C as the overwhelming market favorite at 99% implied probability, reflecting traders’ assessment of stable forecast guidance with narrow uncertainty ranges. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected clear-sky development overnight could enhance cooling and push readings to 12°C or below, while stronger warm advection might lift the minimum above 14°C; updated model runs and official observations through the night remain the key near-term variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes