Recent consensus forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles indicate minimum temperatures for June 12 will most likely fall in the 25–26°C range, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, while above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in official outlooks provide a warm baseline. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress or allow slight drops, and minor shifts in steering flows that influence overnight wind and moisture. Further short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before official verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 12 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 12 de junio?
26°C 33%
24°C 25%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
21%
25°C
20%
26°C
33%
27°C
20%
28°C
15%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
26°C 33%
24°C 25%
25°C 20%
27°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
21°C o menos
$149 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
1%
23°C
$38 Vol.
1%
24°C
$18 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
20%
26°C
$0 Vol.
33%
27°C
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$0 Vol.
15%
29°C
$38 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent consensus forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles indicate minimum temperatures for June 12 will most likely fall in the 25–26°C range, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, while above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in official outlooks provide a warm baseline. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress or allow slight drops, and minor shifts in steering flows that influence overnight wind and moisture. Further short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$611Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent consensus forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles indicate minimum temperatures for June 12 will most likely fall in the 25–26°C range, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, while above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in official outlooks provide a warm baseline. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress or allow slight drops, and minor shifts in steering flows that influence overnight wind and moisture. Further short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$611Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent consensus forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multi-model ensembles indicate minimum temperatures for June 12 will most likely fall in the 25–26°C range, aligning with the market's heaviest weighting on those outcomes amid typical early-summer monsoon conditions. Persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity limit nocturnal radiative cooling in Hong Kong's subtropical climate, while above-normal seasonal temperatures noted in official outlooks provide a warm baseline. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, which can suppress or allow slight drops, and minor shifts in steering flows that influence overnight wind and moisture. Further short-range model runs in the next 48 hours will refine the precise threshold before official verification.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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