With the Louisiana Democratic primary for U.S. Senate just two weeks away on May 16 and early voting beginning May 2, trader consensus gives Jamie Davis Jr. an 83% implied probability of winning, driven by the Louisiana Democratic Party's recent endorsement and his strong grassroots organization as a third-generation farmer from rural Tensas Parish. Nick Albares has climbed to 15.5% after former Gov. John Bel Edwards' high-profile endorsement on April 29—his ex-policy advisor—following candidate forums at Southern University on April 21 and in Shreveport last week. Tracie Burke, Gary Crockett, and Jabarie Walker lag with single-digit odds amid scant polling and limited visibility in this closed-party contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJamie Davis Jr. 83%
Nick Albares 16%
Tracie Burke 4.9%
Jabarie Walker 2.3%
$45,434 Vol.
$45,434 Vol.
Jamie Davis Jr.
83%
Nick Albares
16%
Tracie Burke
5%
Jabarie Walker
2%
Gary Crockett
2%
Jamie Davis Jr. 83%
Nick Albares 16%
Tracie Burke 4.9%
Jabarie Walker 2.3%
$45,434 Vol.
$45,434 Vol.
Jamie Davis Jr.
83%
Nick Albares
16%
Tracie Burke
5%
Jabarie Walker
2%
Gary Crockett
2%
If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Louisiana Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the Louisiana Democratic primary for U.S. Senate just two weeks away on May 16 and early voting beginning May 2, trader consensus gives Jamie Davis Jr. an 83% implied probability of winning, driven by the Louisiana Democratic Party's recent endorsement and his strong grassroots organization as a third-generation farmer from rural Tensas Parish. Nick Albares has climbed to 15.5% after former Gov. John Bel Edwards' high-profile endorsement on April 29—his ex-policy advisor—following candidate forums at Southern University on April 21 and in Shreveport last week. Tracie Burke, Gary Crockett, and Jabarie Walker lag with single-digit odds amid scant polling and limited visibility in this closed-party contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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