Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes shifted control of the official @khamenei_ir account to institutional statements rather than direct leadership input. This has produced minimal activity in subsequent weeks, with the account issuing only occasional translated remarks on regional developments. Traders price the May 29–June 5 window at under five posts because no major diplomatic, military, or internal Iranian events have prompted additional releases during the period, consistent with the account's restrained post-mortem cadence. A sudden escalation involving Iran or a formal institutional announcement could still increase volume before the window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?
Khamenei # posts May 29 - June 5, 2026?
<5 96%
20-24 2.4%
10-14 2.3%
30-34 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<5
96%
5-9
2%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
2%
25-29
1%
30-34
2%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45-49
<1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 96%
20-24 2.4%
10-14 2.3%
30-34 2.0%
NEW
NEW
Jun 5, 2026
<5
$2,767 Vol.
96%
5-9
$547 Vol.
2%
10-14
$787 Vol.
2%
15-19
$750 Vol.
1%
20-24
$1,211 Vol.
2%
25-29
$666 Vol.
1%
30-34
$890 Vol.
2%
35-39
$375 Vol.
<1%
40-44
$201 Vol.
<1%
45-49
$387 Vol.
<1%
50-54
$465 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$439 Vol.
<1%
60+
$484 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes shifted control of the official @khamenei_ir account to institutional statements rather than direct leadership input. This has produced minimal activity in subsequent weeks, with the account issuing only occasional translated remarks on regional developments. Traders price the May 29–June 5 window at under five posts because no major diplomatic, military, or internal Iranian events have prompted additional releases during the period, consistent with the account's restrained post-mortem cadence. A sudden escalation involving Iran or a formal institutional announcement could still increase volume before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$9,968End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes shifted control of the official @khamenei_ir account to institutional statements rather than direct leadership input. This has produced minimal activity in subsequent weeks, with the account issuing only occasional translated remarks on regional developments. Traders price the May 29–June 5 window at under five posts because no major diplomatic, military, or internal Iranian events have prompted additional releases during the period, consistent with the account's restrained post-mortem cadence. A sudden escalation involving Iran or a formal institutional announcement could still increase volume before the window closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,968End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's death in early March 2026 following U.S.-Israeli strikes shifted control of the official @khamenei_ir account to institutional statements rather than direct leadership input. This has produced minimal activity in subsequent weeks, with the account issuing only occasional translated remarks on regional developments. Traders price the May 29–June 5 window at under five posts because no major diplomatic, military, or internal Iranian events have prompted additional releases during the period, consistent with the account's restrained post-mortem cadence. A sudden escalation involving Iran or a formal institutional announcement could still increase volume before the window closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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