Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X has positioned the 180-199 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for the May 29–June 5 window. Traders are tracking recent daily averages near 25–28 posts, fueled by ongoing commentary on Tesla developments, political topics, and cultural debates rather than any single breakout event. Adjacent bands like 200-219 hold secondary support at 21.5%, while lower and higher outcomes remain sidelined amid the absence of major announcements or controversies that historically drive volume spikes. With the period nearly complete, the current consensus reflects observed activity patterns and the platform’s typical engagement cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 65%
200-219 28%
160-179 5.4%
220-239 3.8%
$4,678,786 Vol.
$4,678,786 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
160-179
5%
180-199
65%
200-219
28%
220-239
4%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 65%
200-219 28%
160-179 5.4%
220-239 3.8%
$4,678,786 Vol.
$4,678,786 Vol.
Jun 5, 2026
160-179
$390,068 Vol.
5%
180-199
$233,788 Vol.
65%
200-219
$263,760 Vol.
28%
220-239
$277,477 Vol.
4%
240-259
$295,661 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$340,225 Vol.
<1%
280-299
$308,219 Vol.
<1%
300-319
$285,455 Vol.
<1%
320-339
$159,034 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$81,807 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$110,385 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$79,932 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$38,403 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$26,315 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$28,414 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$32,238 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$108,362 Vol.
<1%
500+
$317,043 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X has positioned the 180-199 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for the May 29–June 5 window. Traders are tracking recent daily averages near 25–28 posts, fueled by ongoing commentary on Tesla developments, political topics, and cultural debates rather than any single breakout event. Adjacent bands like 200-219 hold secondary support at 21.5%, while lower and higher outcomes remain sidelined amid the absence of major announcements or controversies that historically drive volume spikes. With the period nearly complete, the current consensus reflects observed activity patterns and the platform’s typical engagement cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$4,678,786End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X has positioned the 180-199 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for the May 29–June 5 window. Traders are tracking recent daily averages near 25–28 posts, fueled by ongoing commentary on Tesla developments, political topics, and cultural debates rather than any single breakout event. Adjacent bands like 200-219 hold secondary support at 21.5%, while lower and higher outcomes remain sidelined amid the absence of major announcements or controversies that historically drive volume spikes. With the period nearly complete, the current consensus reflects observed activity patterns and the platform’s typical engagement cadence.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 29 12:00 PM ET to June 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$4,678,786End Date
Jun 5, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s consistent posting rhythm on X has positioned the 180-199 tweet range as the market frontrunner at 64.5% implied probability for the May 29–June 5 window. Traders are tracking recent daily averages near 25–28 posts, fueled by ongoing commentary on Tesla developments, political topics, and cultural debates rather than any single breakout event. Adjacent bands like 200-219 hold secondary support at 21.5%, while lower and higher outcomes remain sidelined amid the absence of major announcements or controversies that historically drive volume spikes. With the period nearly complete, the current consensus reflects observed activity patterns and the platform’s typical engagement cadence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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