Traders assign an 83% implied probability to fewer than five posts from the official @khamenei_ir account during June 2–9, reflecting the account’s established pattern of infrequent activity limited to occasional official statements. The account, now managed in the name of the late Supreme Leader, typically issues posts only in response to specific developments rather than on a regular schedule. No major Iranian policy announcements, diplomatic exchanges, or regional escalations have occurred in recent days that would trigger additional statements within the resolution window. Similar weekly markets show comparable pricing, underscoring the baseline expectation of low volume absent triggering events.