Charles Booker commands trader consensus at 87% implied probability to win Kentucky's Democratic Senate primary on May 19, driven by a recent Emerson College/FOX56 poll showing him leading by 18 points among likely voters, solidifying his edge as the 2022 nominee. Amy McGrath trails at 12.5% despite superior fundraising exceeding $1.9 million, reflecting Booker's momentum from multiple April forums in Paducah, Louisville, and elsewhere where he emphasized progressive priorities amid a shifting party base. Minor candidates like Pamela Stevenson and Dale Romans linger below 1% as undecided voters—nearly half in early surveys—consolidate behind frontrunners, with early voting underway potentially tipping late momentum before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCharles Booker 86%
Amy McGrath 13%
Jared Randall <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$30,257 Vol.
$30,257 Vol.
Charles Booker
86%
Amy McGrath
13%
Jared Randall
1%
Pamela Stevenson
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Joel Willett
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 86%
Amy McGrath 13%
Jared Randall <1%
Pamela Stevenson <1%
$30,257 Vol.
$30,257 Vol.
Charles Booker
86%
Amy McGrath
13%
Jared Randall
1%
Pamela Stevenson
<1%
Dale Romans
<1%
Joel Willett
<1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Charles Booker commands trader consensus at 87% implied probability to win Kentucky's Democratic Senate primary on May 19, driven by a recent Emerson College/FOX56 poll showing him leading by 18 points among likely voters, solidifying his edge as the 2022 nominee. Amy McGrath trails at 12.5% despite superior fundraising exceeding $1.9 million, reflecting Booker's momentum from multiple April forums in Paducah, Louisville, and elsewhere where he emphasized progressive priorities amid a shifting party base. Minor candidates like Pamela Stevenson and Dale Romans linger below 1% as undecided voters—nearly half in early surveys—consolidate behind frontrunners, with early voting underway potentially tipping late momentum before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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