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Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Christy Davis 12%

Sharice Davids 9%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 5.1%

Anne Parelkar 3.6%

Polymarket

$88,125 Vol.

Christy Davis 12%

Sharice Davids 9%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 5.1%

Anne Parelkar 3.6%

Polymarket

$88,125 Vol.

Christy Davis

$33,759 Vol.

12%

Sharice Davids

$3,455 Vol.

9%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$30,108 Vol.

5%

Anne Parelkar

$17,605 Vol.

4%

Michael Soetaert

$2,193 Vol.

4%

Patrick Schmidt

$1,006 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, with Christy Davis holding a slim 11.5% implied probability lead over Rep. Sharice Davids at 10% amid speculation Davids could jump from her House re-election bid. Davis differentiates through her rural Kansas roots, USDA background, and focus on agriculture and working families, appealing to key primary voting blocs in a red state. Recent Q1 fundraising reports highlighted state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's top hauls, yet odds remain dispersed across challengers like Sandy Spidel Neumann. Consolidation could follow major endorsements, Davids' decision, or standout debate performances, with no polls yet clarifying frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,125
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the wide-open Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, 2026, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, with Christy Davis holding a slim 11.5% implied probability lead over Rep. Sharice Davids at 10% amid speculation Davids could jump from her House re-election bid. Davis differentiates through her rural Kansas roots, USDA background, and focus on agriculture and working families, appealing to key primary voting blocs in a red state. Recent Q1 fundraising reports highlighted state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's top hauls, yet odds remain dispersed across challengers like Sandy Spidel Neumann. Consolidation could follow major endorsements, Davids' decision, or standout debate performances, with no polls yet clarifying frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,125
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christy Davis" at 12%, followed by "Sharice Davids" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $88.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Christy Davis" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sharice Davids" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.