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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Christy Davis 14%

Patrick Schmidt 13.0%

Sharice Davids 11%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 5.4%

Polymarket

$87,914 Vol.

Christy Davis 14%

Patrick Schmidt 13.0%

Sharice Davids 11%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 5.4%

Polymarket

$87,914 Vol.

Christy Davis

$33,558 Vol.

14%

Patrick Schmidt

$995 Vol.

13%

Sharice Davids

$3,455 Vol.

11%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$30,108 Vol.

5%

Michael Soetaert

$2,193 Vol.

4%

Anne Parelkar

$17,605 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the fragmented Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, trader consensus slightly favors Christy Davis at 14% implied probability, reflecting her rural roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former USDA official emphasizing small-town growth, which resonates in a red state challenging GOP incumbent Roger Marshall. State Sen. Patrick Schmidt trails closely at 10.7% buoyed by his Q1 fundraising lead reported April 17, leveraging Navy veteran credentials and Topeka legislative experience. Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids holds 11% on speculation of a potential jump despite no formal announcement, aided by her moderate profile and highest name recognition. Support could consolidate via party endorsements, Davids' entry decision, late fundraising surges, or internal polls amid undecided voters in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$87,914
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the fragmented Kansas Democratic U.S. Senate primary set for August 4, trader consensus slightly favors Christy Davis at 14% implied probability, reflecting her rural roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former USDA official emphasizing small-town growth, which resonates in a red state challenging GOP incumbent Roger Marshall. State Sen. Patrick Schmidt trails closely at 10.7% buoyed by his Q1 fundraising lead reported April 17, leveraging Navy veteran credentials and Topeka legislative experience. Incumbent Rep. Sharice Davids holds 11% on speculation of a potential jump despite no formal announcement, aided by her moderate profile and highest name recognition. Support could consolidate via party endorsements, Davids' entry decision, late fundraising surges, or internal polls amid undecided voters in this wide-open field.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$87,914
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christy Davis" at 14%, followed by "Patrick Schmidt" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 14¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $87.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Christy Davis" at 14%, meaning the market assigns a 14% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Schmidt" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.