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Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Christy Davis 12%

Patrick Schmidt 10.1%

Sharice Davids 10%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.4%

Polymarket

$88,115 Vol.

Christy Davis 12%

Patrick Schmidt 10.1%

Sharice Davids 10%

Sandy Spidel Neumann 4.4%

Polymarket

$88,115 Vol.

Christy Davis

$33,759 Vol.

12%

Patrick Schmidt

$995 Vol.

10%

Sharice Davids

$3,455 Vol.

10%

Sandy Spidel Neumann

$30,108 Vol.

4%

Michael Soetaert

$2,193 Vol.

4%

Anne Parelkar

$17,605 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Kansas's wide-open Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field, with Christy Davis leading at 13.5% implied probability due to her rural roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former USDA Rural Development director emphasizing community investments. State Sen. Patrick Schmidt trails closely at 11.1%, boosted by his Q1 fundraising lead—$177,174 raised and $129,583 cash on hand—plus Navy veteran status and legislative record. Rep. Sharice Davids holds 10.5% on speculation of a late entry leveraging incumbency and past victories, despite her House reelection bid. Recent entrant megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 announcement as an independent-minded Democrat introduces moderate appeal that could consolidate support, alongside factors like party endorsements, internal polls, and the June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,115
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In Kansas's wide-open Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field, with Christy Davis leading at 13.5% implied probability due to her rural roots as a fifth-generation Kansan and former USDA Rural Development director emphasizing community investments. State Sen. Patrick Schmidt trails closely at 11.1%, boosted by his Q1 fundraising lead—$177,174 raised and $129,583 cash on hand—plus Navy veteran status and legislative record. Rep. Sharice Davids holds 10.5% on speculation of a late entry leveraging incumbency and past victories, despite her House reelection bid. Recent entrant megachurch pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 announcement as an independent-minded Democrat introduces moderate appeal that could consolidate support, alongside factors like party endorsements, internal polls, and the June 1 filing deadline.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas.

If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$88,115
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Kansas. If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Christy Davis" at 12%, followed by "Patrick Schmidt" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $88.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Christy Davis" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Schmidt" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.