Skip to main content
icon for Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Josh Turek 64%

Zach Wahls 36%

Chris Henry <1%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$20,053 Vol.

Josh Turek 64%

Zach Wahls 36%

Chris Henry <1%

Nathan Sage <1%

Polymarket

$20,053 Vol.

Josh Turek

$5,292 Vol.

64%

Zach Wahls

$7,475 Vol.

36%

Chris Henry

$2,018 Vol.

<1%

Nathan Sage

$5,269 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent VoteVets poll conducted April 21-23 shows state Rep. Josh Turek surging to 48% among likely Democratic primary voters in Iowa's June 2 U.S. Senate primary, up from 25% pre-spending, while state Sen. Zach Wahls slips to 28% from 34%, reflecting $5.5 million in pro-Turek ads over five weeks that highlight his western Iowa roots, Paralympic background, and record beating Republicans. Turek's momentum builds on April 13 endorsements from Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto and others, plus Nathan Sage's February backing, positioning him as the stronger general election matchup against GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson per trader consensus. Wahls faces headwinds from attack ads and GOP preference for him as a target, keeping the race contested ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,053
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.A recent VoteVets poll conducted April 21-23 shows state Rep. Josh Turek surging to 48% among likely Democratic primary voters in Iowa's June 2 U.S. Senate primary, up from 25% pre-spending, while state Sen. Zach Wahls slips to 28% from 34%, reflecting $5.5 million in pro-Turek ads over five weeks that highlight his western Iowa roots, Paralympic background, and record beating Republicans. Turek's momentum builds on April 13 endorsements from Sens. Catherine Cortez Masto and others, plus Nathan Sage's February backing, positioning him as the stronger general election matchup against GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson per trader consensus. Wahls faces headwinds from attack ads and GOP preference for him as a target, keeping the race contested ahead of early voting.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa.

If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$20,053
End Date
Jun 2, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 2:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

icon for Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%
icon for Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

44%
icon for 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

49%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Turek" at 64%, followed by "Zach Wahls" at 36%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $20.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Josh Turek" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Zach Wahls" at 36%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.