President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows of 32-37% in late April polls from American Research Group, NBC, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening economic discontent and the ongoing Iran war. Surging gas prices from military escalations, persistent inflation, and high interest rates have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with economy handling approval at just 23%. This marks the first sustained dip into the mid-30s in 2026, down from 40% earlier in the year. Key catalysts ahead include midterm election dynamics, Federal Reserve rate decisions, potential diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in Iran, and upcoming jobs reports that could further sway public sentiment through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$69,308 Vol.
31 dic 2026
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$69,308 Vol.
35%
$39,725 Vol.
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$5,537 Vol.
12%
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$1,649 Vol.
11%
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$2,896 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows of 32-37% in late April polls from American Research Group, NBC, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening economic discontent and the ongoing Iran war. Surging gas prices from military escalations, persistent inflation, and high interest rates have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with economy handling approval at just 23%. This marks the first sustained dip into the mid-30s in 2026, down from 40% earlier in the year. Key catalysts ahead include midterm election dynamics, Federal Reserve rate decisions, potential diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in Iran, and upcoming jobs reports that could further sway public sentiment through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Mercado abierto: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volumen
$69,308Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows of 32-37% in late April polls from American Research Group, NBC, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening economic discontent and the ongoing Iran war. Surging gas prices from military escalations, persistent inflation, and high interest rates have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with economy handling approval at just 23%. This marks the first sustained dip into the mid-30s in 2026, down from 40% earlier in the year. Key catalysts ahead include midterm election dynamics, Federal Reserve rate decisions, potential diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in Iran, and upcoming jobs reports that could further sway public sentiment through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volumen
$69,308Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's approval rating has plunged to second-term lows of 32-37% in late April polls from American Research Group, NBC, and others, reflecting trader consensus on deepening economic discontent and the ongoing Iran war. Surging gas prices from military escalations, persistent inflation, and high interest rates have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, with economy handling approval at just 23%. This marks the first sustained dip into the mid-30s in 2026, down from 40% earlier in the year. Key catalysts ahead include midterm election dynamics, Federal Reserve rate decisions, potential diplomatic breakthroughs or setbacks in Iran, and upcoming jobs reports that could further sway public sentiment through year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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