Forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a June 16 high in Wuhan near 31–33°C under partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon location in the Yangtze basin drives this range through diurnal heating modulated by variable cloud cover and humidity levels typical of mid-June, when the East Asian summer monsoon onset often introduces moisture that can suppress peak temperatures by a degree or two. Minor model differences in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle pressure gradients explain the spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, as even small shifts in afternoon convection or urban heat retention can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 16?
32°C 34%
31°C 32%
33°C 20%
34°C 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
32%
32°C
34%
33°C
20%
34°C
11%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 32%
33°C 20%
34°C 11.3%
NEW
NEW
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$437 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$711 Vol.
2%
30°C
$211 Vol.
4%
31°C
$252 Vol.
32%
32°C
$243 Vol.
34%
33°C
$400 Vol.
20%
34°C
$58 Vol.
11%
35°C
$226 Vol.
1%
36°C
$75 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$70 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a June 16 high in Wuhan near 31–33°C under partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon location in the Yangtze basin drives this range through diurnal heating modulated by variable cloud cover and humidity levels typical of mid-June, when the East Asian summer monsoon onset often introduces moisture that can suppress peak temperatures by a degree or two. Minor model differences in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle pressure gradients explain the spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, as even small shifts in afternoon convection or urban heat retention can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$3,000End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a June 16 high in Wuhan near 31–33°C under partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon location in the Yangtze basin drives this range through diurnal heating modulated by variable cloud cover and humidity levels typical of mid-June, when the East Asian summer monsoon onset often introduces moisture that can suppress peak temperatures by a degree or two. Minor model differences in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle pressure gradients explain the spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, as even small shifts in afternoon convection or urban heat retention can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,000End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a June 16 high in Wuhan near 31–33°C under partly sunny conditions with light easterly winds, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those thresholds. Wuhan's subtropical monsoon location in the Yangtze basin drives this range through diurnal heating modulated by variable cloud cover and humidity levels typical of mid-June, when the East Asian summer monsoon onset often introduces moisture that can suppress peak temperatures by a degree or two. Minor model differences in predicted insolation, boundary-layer mixing, or subtle pressure gradients explain the spread between 31°C and 33°C outcomes, as even small shifts in afternoon convection or urban heat retention can alter the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated short-range guidance ahead of resolution will likely refine these variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions