Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 14?
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
30°C <1%
$65,228 Vol.
$65,228 Vol.
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current observations from official Chinese meteorological stations and convergent forecasts from models such as ECMWF and CMA show Wuhan's afternoon peak stabilizing at or below 29°C under stable high pressure, limited moisture advection, and typical early-summer radiative heating. This scientific consensus, reinforced by real-time surface data and the absence of convective destabilization, has driven the market's near-certain pricing of the 29°C outcome. The primary resolution threshold remains the highest verified reading at the designated Wuhan station before midnight local time. Only an unexpected late-day surge from unmodeled urban heat-island effects or a post-forecast measurement revision could realistically alter the result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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