**Official forecasts from MetService and other models currently project a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on June 16, 2026, under southerly flows following a shift from earlier northerly patterns.** This positions 12°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 11°C and 13°C close behind, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions where average June highs hover near 13°C. Recent model runs highlight possible morning showers that could suppress peak temperatures, alongside moderate wind speeds and cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could alter the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily, given the proximity to the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 16?
12°C 46%
11°C 26%
13°C 24%
14°C 4.7%
NEW
$10,584 Vol.
NEW
$10,584 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
26%
12°C
46%
13°C
24%
14°C
5%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 46%
11°C 26%
13°C 24%
14°C 4.7%
NEW
$10,584 Vol.
NEW
$10,584 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
7°C or below
$150 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$202 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$712 Vol.
2%
11°C
$1,248 Vol.
26%
12°C
$798 Vol.
46%
13°C
$1,479 Vol.
24%
14°C
$3,088 Vol.
5%
15°C
$2,278 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$277 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$265 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and other models currently project a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on June 16, 2026, under southerly flows following a shift from earlier northerly patterns.** This positions 12°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 11°C and 13°C close behind, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions where average June highs hover near 13°C. Recent model runs highlight possible morning showers that could suppress peak temperatures, alongside moderate wind speeds and cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could alter the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily, given the proximity to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$10,584End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from MetService and other models currently project a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on June 16, 2026, under southerly flows following a shift from earlier northerly patterns.** This positions 12°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 11°C and 13°C close behind, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions where average June highs hover near 13°C. Recent model runs highlight possible morning showers that could suppress peak temperatures, alongside moderate wind speeds and cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could alter the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily, given the proximity to the observation window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,584End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official forecasts from MetService and other models currently project a daytime maximum of 12–13°C in Wellington on June 16, 2026, under southerly flows following a shift from earlier northerly patterns.** This positions 12°C as the market leader at 46% implied probability, with 11°C and 13°C close behind, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions where average June highs hover near 13°C. Recent model runs highlight possible morning showers that could suppress peak temperatures, alongside moderate wind speeds and cloud cover limiting daytime warming. Short-term forecast uncertainty remains, as small shifts in frontal timing or wind strength could alter the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution. Traders are weighting the latest observational data and ensemble consensus heavily, given the proximity to the observation window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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