Recent observations from Shanghai meteorological stations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cool, overcast day with persistent rain and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping the official maximum at 22°C. This aligns with current readings near 22°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that suppress solar insolation and convective warming. Trader consensus at 100% reflects high confidence in these verified conditions and historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns. Unlikely but plausible challenges include localized microclimate variations at the primary reporting station, post-event data revisions, or an unexpected late-day clearing that could nudge readings marginally higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on June 14?
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$180,731 Vol.
$180,731 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
23°C <1%
$180,731 Vol.
$180,731 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent observations from Shanghai meteorological stations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a cool, overcast day with persistent rain and northeasterly flow limiting daytime heating, keeping the official maximum at 22°C. This aligns with current readings near 22°C amid high humidity and cloud cover that suppress solar insolation and convective warming. Trader consensus at 100% reflects high confidence in these verified conditions and historical analogs for early June under similar synoptic patterns. Unlikely but plausible challenges include localized microclimate variations at the primary reporting station, post-event data revisions, or an unexpected late-day clearing that could nudge readings marginally higher.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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