Traders favor 29–31°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s June 10 high because short-range forecast models show typical early-summer monsoon conditions: warm, humid air with daytime instability likely producing scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate peak heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles indicate afternoon maxima near 30°C under variable cloud cover, consistent with historical June averages of 30–31°C and low likelihood of clear-sky extremes. Minor spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C reflect small differences in timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 10?
30°C 29%
29°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
29°C 24%
31°C 20%
28°C 16%
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
24%
30°C
29%
31°C
20%
32°C
11%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders favor 29–31°C outcomes for Shenzhen’s June 10 high because short-range forecast models show typical early-summer monsoon conditions: warm, humid air with daytime instability likely producing scattered showers or thunderstorms that moderate peak heating. Recent model runs from global ensembles indicate afternoon maxima near 30°C under variable cloud cover, consistent with historical June averages of 30–31°C and low likelihood of clear-sky extremes. Minor spreads among 29°C, 30°C, and 31°C reflect small differences in timing of convection and boundary-layer moisture, with no major synoptic shifts expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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