Current ensemble forecasts from global weather models place the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 10 near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, with the tight spread among 23–26°C outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. Moderate northerly winds and partial cloud cover are expected to limit solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, preventing stronger warming while stable high pressure maintains typical early-summer conditions. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and low-level moisture advection explain the close probabilities between adjacent thresholds, consistent with historical June variability around 25°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 10?
25°C 36%
24°C 33%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
36%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
25°C 36%
24°C 33%
23°C 16%
26°C 14%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
33%
25°C
36%
26°C
14%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global weather models place the highest temperature in Istanbul on June 10 near seasonal norms of 24–25°C, with the tight spread among 23–26°C outcomes reflecting modest uncertainty in daytime heating. Moderate northerly winds and partial cloud cover are expected to limit solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, preventing stronger warming while stable high pressure maintains typical early-summer conditions. Minor model disagreements on exact cloud timing and low-level moisture advection explain the close probabilities between adjacent thresholds, consistent with historical June variability around 25°C. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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