Current forecasts from Météo-France and European ensemble models place the overnight low in Paris for June 12 near 13–15 °C, reflecting mild Atlantic air under weakening high pressure and light winds. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 12–14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16 °C. With resolution hinging on the official recorded minimum, traders are weighting the latest model runs ahead of the June 11–12 forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en París el 12 de junio?
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
14°C 19%
13°C 5%
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
19%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
1%
16°C 28%
15°C 27%
14°C 19%
13°C 5%
10°C o menos
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
5%
14°C
19%
15°C
27%
16°C
28%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Météo-France and European ensemble models place the overnight low in Paris for June 12 near 13–15 °C, reflecting mild Atlantic air under weakening high pressure and light winds. Model spreads arise mainly from uncertainties in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift minimum temperatures by 1–2 °C. Historical June climatology shows average lows of 12–14 °C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14–16 °C. With resolution hinging on the official recorded minimum, traders are weighting the latest model runs ahead of the June 11–12 forecast updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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