Current ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on June 12 will likely peak near 19–21°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundery showers possible. These conditions introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical June averages around 22°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 12?
20°C 38%
19°C 33%
21°C 14%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
9%
19°C
33%
20°C
38%
21°C
14%
22°C
4%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 38%
19°C 33%
21°C 14%
18°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
14°C or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$30 Vol.
1%
16°C
$193 Vol.
1%
17°C
$110 Vol.
5%
18°C
$261 Vol.
9%
19°C
$29 Vol.
33%
20°C
$108 Vol.
38%
21°C
$175 Vol.
14%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$30 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$59 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on June 12 will likely peak near 19–21°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundery showers possible. These conditions introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical June averages around 22°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ET
Volumen
$1,030Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on June 12 will likely peak near 19–21°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundery showers possible. These conditions introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical June averages around 22°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,030Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major global models indicate Warsaw's maximum temperature on June 12 will likely peak near 19–21°C, driven by a weakening high-pressure ridge allowing modest daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with isolated thundery showers possible. These conditions introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, which can suppress or enhance surface temperatures by 1–2°C depending on timing and intensity. Historical June averages around 22°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors slightly cooler outcomes. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine resolution criteria tied to official meteorological station readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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