Current forecast models from Météo-France and Meteored indicate daytime highs in Paris on June 12 around 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maximum temperatures reach 21–23°C, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C as the leading outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns and no strong warm-air advection expected, reducing the probability of exceeding 26°C while keeping cooler thresholds below 10 percent. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 12 de junio?
24°C 37%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
26°C o más 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
17%
24°C
37%
25°C
25%
26°C o más
11%
24°C 37%
25°C 25%
23°C 17%
26°C o más 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
16°C o menos
$171 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$409 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,118 Vol.
1%
20°C
$241 Vol.
1%
21°C
$450 Vol.
1%
22°C
$499 Vol.
2%
23°C
$242 Vol.
17%
24°C
$90 Vol.
37%
25°C
$45 Vol.
25%
26°C o más
$154 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and Meteored indicate daytime highs in Paris on June 12 around 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maximum temperatures reach 21–23°C, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C as the leading outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns and no strong warm-air advection expected, reducing the probability of exceeding 26°C while keeping cooler thresholds below 10 percent. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$3,520Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from Météo-France and Meteored indicate daytime highs in Paris on June 12 around 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maximum temperatures reach 21–23°C, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C as the leading outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns and no strong warm-air advection expected, reducing the probability of exceeding 26°C while keeping cooler thresholds below 10 percent. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,520Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from Météo-France and Meteored indicate daytime highs in Paris on June 12 around 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. These conditions align with early-summer climatology, where average maximum temperatures reach 21–23°C, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 24°C and 25°C as the leading outcomes. Ensemble guidance shows limited variability in steering patterns and no strong warm-air advection expected, reducing the probability of exceeding 26°C while keeping cooler thresholds below 10 percent. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine the precise maximum ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes