Current numerical weather models indicate maximum temperatures in Madrid on June 12 most likely falling between 33°C and 35°C, driven by persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover typical of early June in central Spain. Recent runs show daytime highs building from mid-30s values amid seasonal warming trends, with ensemble spreads narrowing around these thresholds as the date approaches. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 28–30°C, so the current setup represents above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 12?
34°C 52%
35°C 27%
33°C 20%
36°C 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
20%
34°C
52%
35°C
27%
36°C
5%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
35°C 27%
33°C 20%
36°C 4.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
30°C o menos
$475 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$448 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$85 Vol.
2%
33°C
$159 Vol.
20%
34°C
$197 Vol.
52%
35°C
$55 Vol.
27%
36°C
$102 Vol.
5%
37°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$16 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$39 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models indicate maximum temperatures in Madrid on June 12 most likely falling between 33°C and 35°C, driven by persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover typical of early June in central Spain. Recent runs show daytime highs building from mid-30s values amid seasonal warming trends, with ensemble spreads narrowing around these thresholds as the date approaches. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 28–30°C, so the current setup represents above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$736Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models indicate maximum temperatures in Madrid on June 12 most likely falling between 33°C and 35°C, driven by persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover typical of early June in central Spain. Recent runs show daytime highs building from mid-30s values amid seasonal warming trends, with ensemble spreads narrowing around these thresholds as the date approaches. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 28–30°C, so the current setup represents above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$736Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models indicate maximum temperatures in Madrid on June 12 most likely falling between 33°C and 35°C, driven by persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover typical of early June in central Spain. Recent runs show daytime highs building from mid-30s values amid seasonal warming trends, with ensemble spreads narrowing around these thresholds as the date approaches. Historical climatology places average June maxima near 28–30°C, so the current setup represents above-normal conditions without extreme heat signals. Updated short-range forecasts from official sources will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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