Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on June 12 centered near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and the early stages of the tsuyu rainy season, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market-implied probabilities peaking at 19°C. Typical mid-June climatology features average minimum temperatures around 17–19°C, with variability driven by humidity levels near 70–80% and potential light precipitation that can moderate temperature drops. Key variables include model consensus on steering patterns and any revisions to precipitation timing, as clearer skies could push readings toward 17°C or below while persistent overcast conditions favor 20–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Tokio el 12 de junio?
18°C 38%
19°C 33%
20°C 20%
17°C 12.6%
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C
23%
19°C
33%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
18°C 38%
19°C 33%
20°C 20%
17°C 12.6%
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
13%
18°C
23%
19°C
33%
20°C
20%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate overnight lows in Tokyo on June 12 centered near 18–20°C amid increasing cloud cover and the early stages of the tsuyu rainy season, which limits radiative cooling and supports the market-implied probabilities peaking at 19°C. Typical mid-June climatology features average minimum temperatures around 17–19°C, with variability driven by humidity levels near 70–80% and potential light precipitation that can moderate temperature drops. Key variables include model consensus on steering patterns and any revisions to precipitation timing, as clearer skies could push readings toward 17°C or below while persistent overcast conditions favor 20–21°C. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these outcomes ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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