Latest ensemble forecasts from major European and global models converge on a typical early-summer pattern for Amsterdam on June 12, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 18–19 °C under variable cloud and light winds. This aligns with the long-term June average high of roughly 19 °C and explains the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Seasonal outlooks had signaled slightly above-normal warmth for early summer, yet recent model runs show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 21 °C or higher. Updated guidance expected from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, while any shift in steering flow or cloud cover could still alter the final maximum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 12 de junio?
19°C 39%
18°C 27%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C o más
<1%
19°C 39%
18°C 27%
20°C 18%
21°C 5%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
4%
17°C
5%
18°C
27%
19°C
39%
20°C
18%
21°C
5%
22°C
3%
23°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major European and global models converge on a typical early-summer pattern for Amsterdam on June 12, with daytime maxima most likely reaching 18–19 °C under variable cloud and light winds. This aligns with the long-term June average high of roughly 19 °C and explains the market’s heaviest weighting on those two outcomes. Seasonal outlooks had signaled slightly above-normal warmth for early summer, yet recent model runs show no significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that would push readings to 21 °C or higher. Updated guidance expected from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak, while any shift in steering flow or cloud cover could still alter the final maximum by 1–2 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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