Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12 most likely in the 16–18°C range because current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service converge on mild winter conditions typical for the region, with average June daily highs near 16–17°C based on long-term observations. Recent cold fronts earlier in the month introduced variability through scattered showers and south-southeasterly winds, but no strong systems are projected to alter the pattern dramatically before mid-month. Model spreads reflect inherent uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and local orographic effects around Table Mountain, keeping probabilities distributed across several degrees rather than concentrated on a single outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?
17°C 35%
16°C 23%
18°C 19%
15°C 13%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
35%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
1%
17°C 35%
16°C 23%
18°C 19%
15°C 13%
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
13%
16°C
23%
17°C
35%
18°C
19%
19°C
7%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12 most likely in the 16–18°C range because current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service converge on mild winter conditions typical for the region, with average June daily highs near 16–17°C based on long-term observations. Recent cold fronts earlier in the month introduced variability through scattered showers and south-southeasterly winds, but no strong systems are projected to alter the pattern dramatically before mid-month. Model spreads reflect inherent uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and local orographic effects around Table Mountain, keeping probabilities distributed across several degrees rather than concentrated on a single outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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