Skip to main content
icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?

icon for ¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?

¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?

17°C 35%

16°C 23%

18°C 19%

15°C 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

17°C 35%

16°C 23%

18°C 19%

15°C 13%

Polymarket
NUEVO

11°C o menos

$18 Vol.

<1%

12°C

$18 Vol.

<1%

13°C

$43 Vol.

1%

14°C

$30 Vol.

9%

15°C

$50 Vol.

13%

16°C

$25 Vol.

23%

17°C

$14 Vol.

35%

18°C

$18 Vol.

19%

19°C

$331 Vol.

7%

20°C

$30 Vol.

1%

21°C o más

$70 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12 most likely in the 16–18°C range because current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service converge on mild winter conditions typical for the region, with average June daily highs near 16–17°C based on long-term observations. Recent cold fronts earlier in the month introduced variability through scattered showers and south-southeasterly winds, but no strong systems are projected to alter the pattern dramatically before mid-month. Model spreads reflect inherent uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and local orographic effects around Table Mountain, keeping probabilities distributed across several degrees rather than concentrated on a single outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$603
Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the highest temperature in Cape Town on June 12 most likely in the 16–18°C range because current forecast models from agencies like the South African Weather Service converge on mild winter conditions typical for the region, with average June daily highs near 16–17°C based on long-term observations. Recent cold fronts earlier in the month introduced variability through scattered showers and south-southeasterly winds, but no strong systems are projected to alter the pattern dramatically before mid-month. Model spreads reflect inherent uncertainty in short-term steering patterns and local orographic effects around Table Mountain, keeping probabilities distributed across several degrees rather than concentrated on a single outcome. New model runs and observational updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine these trader-implied odds ahead of resolution.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$603
Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "17°C" con 35%, seguido de "16°C" con 23%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 35¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?" es "17°C" con 35%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 35% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "16°C" con 23%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿La temperatura más alta en Ciudad del Cabo el 12 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.