Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Moscow’s June 12 maximum near 29–31 °C under a building ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover, producing the market’s leading 30 °C outcome at 33.5 %. Model spread remains wide because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 2–3 °C. Historical June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects an anomalous warm anomaly that traders weigh against the possibility of greater diurnal cooling if afternoon convection develops. Updated runs from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
Highest temperature in Moscow on June 12?
30°C 34%
31°C 20%
29°C 16%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
26°C or below
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
6%
29°C
16%
30°C
34%
31°C
21%
32°C
4%
33°C
4%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 34%
31°C 20%
29°C 16%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
26°C or below
$33 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
6%
29°C
$0 Vol.
16%
30°C
$42 Vol.
34%
31°C
$75 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
4%
33°C
$0 Vol.
4%
34°C
$45 Vol.
2%
35°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Moscow’s June 12 maximum near 29–31 °C under a building ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover, producing the market’s leading 30 °C outcome at 33.5 %. Model spread remains wide because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 2–3 °C. Historical June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects an anomalous warm anomaly that traders weigh against the possibility of greater diurnal cooling if afternoon convection develops. Updated runs from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ET
Volumen
$1,551Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Moscow’s June 12 maximum near 29–31 °C under a building ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover, producing the market’s leading 30 °C outcome at 33.5 %. Model spread remains wide because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 2–3 °C. Historical June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects an anomalous warm anomaly that traders weigh against the possibility of greater diurnal cooling if afternoon convection develops. Updated runs from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,551Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 1:10 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major global models place Moscow’s June 12 maximum near 29–31 °C under a building ridge with light winds and limited cloud cover, producing the market’s leading 30 °C outcome at 33.5 %. Model spread remains wide because small differences in timing of a weak frontal passage or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 2–3 °C. Historical June maxima average 22–23 °C, so current guidance reflects an anomalous warm anomaly that traders weigh against the possibility of greater diurnal cooling if afternoon convection develops. Updated runs from Russia’s Hydrometeorological Center and ECMWF expected within 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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