Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a Shanghai minimum near 17°C on June 10, driven by increased cloud cover and a modest influx of cooler northerly air behind a weak frontal boundary. This places the projected low slightly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 17°C, aligns with these model outputs while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges in 24–48-hour minimum-temperature guidance. Updated model runs through tonight remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward adjacent buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 10 de junio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 10 de junio?
17°C 38%
18°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C 7.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
7%
17°C
38%
18°C
20%
19°C
15%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
1%
17°C 38%
18°C 20%
19°C 15%
16°C 7.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 jun 2026
12°C o menos
$463 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$818 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$593 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$523 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$157 Vol.
7%
17°C
$117 Vol.
38%
18°C
$159 Vol.
20%
19°C
$68 Vol.
15%
20°C
$204 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,005 Vol.
1%
22°C o más
$391 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a Shanghai minimum near 17°C on June 10, driven by increased cloud cover and a modest influx of cooler northerly air behind a weak frontal boundary. This places the projected low slightly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 17°C, aligns with these model outputs while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges in 24–48-hour minimum-temperature guidance. Updated model runs through tonight remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward adjacent buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$4,493Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a Shanghai minimum near 17°C on June 10, driven by increased cloud cover and a modest influx of cooler northerly air behind a weak frontal boundary. This places the projected low slightly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 17°C, aligns with these model outputs while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges in 24–48-hour minimum-temperature guidance. Updated model runs through tonight remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward adjacent buckets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,493Fecha de finalización
10 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a Shanghai minimum near 17°C on June 10, driven by increased cloud cover and a modest influx of cooler northerly air behind a weak frontal boundary. This places the projected low slightly below the early-June climatological average of roughly 19–20°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 37.5% implied probability on 17°C, aligns with these model outputs while acknowledging typical 1–2°C uncertainty ranges in 24–48-hour minimum-temperature guidance. Updated model runs through tonight remain the key variable that could shift probabilities toward adjacent buckets.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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