Recent short-range forecasts from major models place London's expected overnight minimum for June 12 in the 14–16 °C range, producing tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–25 % for each of those outcomes. This narrow band reflects ongoing uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, all of which control how much radiative cooling occurs after sunset. June climatology shows an average minimum near 13 °C, yet the current pattern—following a cooler start to the month—favors slightly milder nights. Ensemble spreads indicate modest downside risk to 12–13 °C if clearer skies develop, while any increase in low cloud or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 17 °C. Final model runs and Met Office guidance issued on June 11 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 12 de junio?
¿La temperatura más baja en Londres el 12 de junio?
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
11°C o menos
<1%
12°C
5%
13°C
5%
14°C
25%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
20%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C o más
<1%
14°C 37%
15°C 25%
16°C 25%
17°C 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 jun 2026
11°C o menos
$25 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
5%
13°C
$0 Vol.
5%
14°C
$179 Vol.
25%
15°C
$0 Vol.
25%
16°C
$0 Vol.
25%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$20 Vol.
2%
19°C
$20 Vol.
1%
20°C
$20 Vol.
1%
21°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models place London's expected overnight minimum for June 12 in the 14–16 °C range, producing tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–25 % for each of those outcomes. This narrow band reflects ongoing uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, all of which control how much radiative cooling occurs after sunset. June climatology shows an average minimum near 13 °C, yet the current pattern—following a cooler start to the month—favors slightly milder nights. Ensemble spreads indicate modest downside risk to 12–13 °C if clearer skies develop, while any increase in low cloud or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 17 °C. Final model runs and Met Office guidance issued on June 11 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$264Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from major models place London's expected overnight minimum for June 12 in the 14–16 °C range, producing tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–25 % for each of those outcomes. This narrow band reflects ongoing uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, all of which control how much radiative cooling occurs after sunset. June climatology shows an average minimum near 13 °C, yet the current pattern—following a cooler start to the month—favors slightly milder nights. Ensemble spreads indicate modest downside risk to 12–13 °C if clearer skies develop, while any increase in low cloud or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 17 °C. Final model runs and Met Office guidance issued on June 11 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$264Fecha de finalización
12 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from major models place London's expected overnight minimum for June 12 in the 14–16 °C range, producing tightly clustered market-implied odds near 24–25 % for each of those outcomes. This narrow band reflects ongoing uncertainty in cloud cover, wind speed, and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours, all of which control how much radiative cooling occurs after sunset. June climatology shows an average minimum near 13 °C, yet the current pattern—following a cooler start to the month—favors slightly milder nights. Ensemble spreads indicate modest downside risk to 12–13 °C if clearer skies develop, while any increase in low cloud or stronger southerly flow could push readings toward 17 °C. Final model runs and Met Office guidance issued on June 11 will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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