Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 11 near 24–26°C under typical early-summer high pressure with modest daytime heating over the Sea of Marmara. This produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and timing of peak insolation can shift the official reading by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet short-range observational data and model consensus currently favor the lower end of that range, with limited upside potential absent a stronger ridge. Refined 48-hour model runs expected in the next day will further narrow resolution criteria tied to the official meteorological station measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 35%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
9%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
14%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 35%
25°C 30%
26°C 14%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 jun 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C
$30 Vol.
1%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$21 Vol.
9%
24°C
$35 Vol.
35%
25°C
$0 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$15 Vol.
4%
28°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 11 near 24–26°C under typical early-summer high pressure with modest daytime heating over the Sea of Marmara. This produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and timing of peak insolation can shift the official reading by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet short-range observational data and model consensus currently favor the lower end of that range, with limited upside potential absent a stronger ridge. Refined 48-hour model runs expected in the next day will further narrow resolution criteria tied to the official meteorological station measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Volumen
$116Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 11 near 24–26°C under typical early-summer high pressure with modest daytime heating over the Sea of Marmara. This produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and timing of peak insolation can shift the official reading by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet short-range observational data and model consensus currently favor the lower end of that range, with limited upside potential absent a stronger ridge. Refined 48-hour model runs expected in the next day will further narrow resolution criteria tied to the official meteorological station measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$116Fecha de finalización
11 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS place Istanbul’s maximum temperature on June 11 near 24–26°C under typical early-summer high pressure with modest daytime heating over the Sea of Marmara. This produces the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 24°C and 25°C, as small differences in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and timing of peak insolation can shift the official reading by 1–2°C. Historical June averages near 25–26°C provide context, yet short-range observational data and model consensus currently favor the lower end of that range, with limited upside potential absent a stronger ridge. Refined 48-hour model runs expected in the next day will further narrow resolution criteria tied to the official meteorological station measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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