The near-certain market consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on June 13 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum reading of exactly that value, recorded at its headquarters and corroborated by station data across the territory. June climatology in the region typically features highs around 29–31°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity, with no significant heatwave or frontal passage noted in the preceding days to push extremes higher. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect only the remote chance of post-observation data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, which historical records show occur infrequently. Updated forecasts for the following days indicate continued typical early-summer conditions without rapid shifts that would retroactively affect the June 13 measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de junio?
30°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,691 Vol.
$279,691 Vol.
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superior
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,691 Vol.
$279,691 Vol.
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-certain market consensus on a 30°C high for Hong Kong on June 13 stems from the Hong Kong Observatory's official daily maximum reading of exactly that value, recorded at its headquarters and corroborated by station data across the territory. June climatology in the region typically features highs around 29–31°C under prevailing southerly flow and high humidity, with no significant heatwave or frontal passage noted in the preceding days to push extremes higher. Minor probabilities on adjacent outcomes reflect only the remote chance of post-observation data revisions or station-specific discrepancies, which historical records show occur infrequently. Updated forecasts for the following days indicate continued typical early-summer conditions without rapid shifts that would retroactively affect the June 13 measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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