**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official measurement aligning precisely with that threshold.** Seasonal forecasts from the HKO had projected above-normal temperatures for June amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily maxima around 29–31°C under humid subtropical conditions. Recent model guidance and anticyclone influences supported peak readings near this level without pushing into higher categories. The market’s near-certainty stems from post-event confirmation via authoritative observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative station reading outside standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 13 de junio?
30°C 99.8%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,713 Vol.
$279,713 Vol.
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superior
<1%
30°C 99.8%
25°C o menos <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$279,713 Vol.
$279,713 Vol.
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C o superior
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Jun 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged overwhelmingly on 30°C as the highest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on June 13, 2026, reflecting the Hong Kong Observatory’s official measurement aligning precisely with that threshold.** Seasonal forecasts from the HKO had projected above-normal temperatures for June amid ongoing climate warming trends, with typical daily maxima around 29–31°C under humid subtropical conditions. Recent model guidance and anticyclone influences supported peak readings near this level without pushing into higher categories. The market’s near-certainty stems from post-event confirmation via authoritative observational data rather than forecasts. Only an unreported measurement revision or alternative station reading outside standard HKO protocols could realistically alter the outcome at this stage.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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