Current forecast models indicate overcast skies and modest daytime heating in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, positioning a daily maximum near 27–29°C as the most likely outcome and driving the 50.5% market-implied probability on 27°C or below. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where the East Asian monsoon typically delivers high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and average highs of 29–31°C that limit surface warming. Recent observational data show stable steering patterns and no strong subtropical ridge to promote clearer skies or rapid intensification. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with probabilities dropping sharply above 29°C, while noting that any late-model shift toward reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 16?
27°C or below 59%
28°C 26%
29°C 10%
30°C 2.5%
NEW
$12,605 Vol.
NEW
$12,605 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
59%
28°C
26%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 59%
28°C 26%
29°C 10%
30°C 2.5%
NEW
$12,605 Vol.
NEW
$12,605 Vol.
Jun 16, 2026
27°C or below
$1,440 Vol.
59%
28°C
$541 Vol.
26%
29°C
$1,388 Vol.
10%
30°C
$843 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,764 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,054 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,221 Vol.
1%
34°C
$1,183 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$716 Vol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$956 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overcast skies and modest daytime heating in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, positioning a daily maximum near 27–29°C as the most likely outcome and driving the 50.5% market-implied probability on 27°C or below. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where the East Asian monsoon typically delivers high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and average highs of 29–31°C that limit surface warming. Recent observational data show stable steering patterns and no strong subtropical ridge to promote clearer skies or rapid intensification. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with probabilities dropping sharply above 29°C, while noting that any late-model shift toward reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$12,605End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models indicate overcast skies and modest daytime heating in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, positioning a daily maximum near 27–29°C as the most likely outcome and driving the 50.5% market-implied probability on 27°C or below. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where the East Asian monsoon typically delivers high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and average highs of 29–31°C that limit surface warming. Recent observational data show stable steering patterns and no strong subtropical ridge to promote clearer skies or rapid intensification. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with probabilities dropping sharply above 29°C, while noting that any late-model shift toward reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,605End Date
Jun 16, 2026Market Opened
Jun 14, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate overcast skies and modest daytime heating in Chengdu on June 16, 2026, positioning a daily maximum near 27–29°C as the most likely outcome and driving the 50.5% market-implied probability on 27°C or below. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where the East Asian monsoon typically delivers high humidity, frequent cloud cover, and average highs of 29–31°C that limit surface warming. Recent observational data show stable steering patterns and no strong subtropical ridge to promote clearer skies or rapid intensification. Traders are weighting these factors heavily, with probabilities dropping sharply above 29°C, while noting that any late-model shift toward reduced cloud cover could push readings higher before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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