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Politics·UK

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Hackney Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·UK

Hackney Mayoral Election Winner

Zoë Garbett 86%

Caroline Woodley 16%

Eva Steinhardt <1%

Vahid Almasi <1%

Polymarket

$17,193 Vol.

Zoë Garbett 86%

Caroline Woodley 16%

Eva Steinhardt <1%

Vahid Almasi <1%

Polymarket

$17,193 Vol.

icon for Zoë Garbett

Zoë Garbett

$10,730 Vol.

86%

icon for Caroline Woodley

Caroline Woodley

$3,162 Vol.

16%

icon for Eva Steinhardt

Eva Steinhardt

$1,357 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vahid Almasi

Vahid Almasi

$586 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tareke Gregg

Tareke Gregg

$1,358 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent polling projections, including YouGov MRP and JL Partners MRP from late April, show the Green Party leading Hackney council vote shares at around 39-40% versus Labour's 31-33%, with PollCheck forecasting Greens securing 29 of 57 seats and a 93% chance of control—driving trader consensus toward Green mayoral candidate Zoë Garbett at 85.5% implied probability under first-past-the-post voting. Incumbent Labour mayor Caroline Woodley lags at 15.5% amid national Labour unpopularity, local housing crises like damp mould and long waiting lists, and Greens' canvassing momentum led by party head Zack Polanski. The May 7 election remains contested, with turnout and Gaza-related divestment debates as potential swing factors.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$17,193
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent polling projections, including YouGov MRP and JL Partners MRP from late April, show the Green Party leading Hackney council vote shares at around 39-40% versus Labour's 31-33%, with PollCheck forecasting Greens securing 29 of 57 seats and a 93% chance of control—driving trader consensus toward Green mayoral candidate Zoë Garbett at 85.5% implied probability under first-past-the-post voting. Incumbent Labour mayor Caroline Woodley lags at 15.5% amid national Labour unpopularity, local housing crises like damp mould and long waiting lists, and Greens' canvassing momentum led by party head Zack Polanski. The May 7 election remains contested, with turnout and Gaza-related divestment debates as potential swing factors.

The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Volume
$17,193
End Date
May 7, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zoë Garbett" at 86%, followed by "Caroline Woodley" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $17.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" is "Zoë Garbett" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caroline Woodley" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hackney Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.