Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sen. Therese Terlaje at 59% to win Guam's Democratic primary for governor on August 1, 2026, reflecting a recent poll showing her leading with 36% support among likely voters—outpacing Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio's 21% and Sen. Joe S. San Agustin's 13%—even before her April 10 campaign launch with running mate Sen. Sabina Perez. Terlaje's status as Guam's most popularly elected partisan official over six years and her independent stance against the current administration bolster her position amid scandals like federal indictments tied to Tenorio's family. Both Terlaje-Perez and Tenorio-Muñoz-Barnes teams filed nominating petitions on April 24, solidifying a competitive three-way primary ahead of today's petition deadline, with Tenorio's executive experience keeping him viable at 26% and San Agustin at 11.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTherese Terlaje 56%
Josh Tenorio 27%
Joe S. San Agustin 6.0%
$16,965 Vol.
$16,965 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
56%
Josh Tenorio
27%
Joe S. San Agustin
11%
Therese Terlaje 56%
Josh Tenorio 27%
Joe S. San Agustin 6.0%
$16,965 Vol.
$16,965 Vol.
Therese Terlaje
56%
Josh Tenorio
27%
Joe S. San Agustin
11%
If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 10:40 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Sen. Therese Terlaje at 59% to win Guam's Democratic primary for governor on August 1, 2026, reflecting a recent poll showing her leading with 36% support among likely voters—outpacing Lt. Gov. Josh Tenorio's 21% and Sen. Joe S. San Agustin's 13%—even before her April 10 campaign launch with running mate Sen. Sabina Perez. Terlaje's status as Guam's most popularly elected partisan official over six years and her independent stance against the current administration bolster her position amid scandals like federal indictments tied to Tenorio's family. Both Terlaje-Perez and Tenorio-Muñoz-Barnes teams filed nominating petitions on April 24, solidifying a competitive three-way primary ahead of today's petition deadline, with Tenorio's executive experience keeping him viable at 26% and San Agustin at 11.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions