Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands a strong lead in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, with recent surveys like the ERNA/Concord Public Opinion Partners poll (late March-early April) showing her at 42% among likely voters—nearly three times Mike Thurmond's 12% and ahead of state Sen. Jason Esteves at 6%—driving trader consensus to price her at 64% on Polymarket. Runoff scenarios further favor Bottoms at 56-60%, reflecting Georgia's top-two advancement rule if no candidate exceeds 50%. Recent Atlanta Press Club debates highlighted rivals battling for second place amid attack ads, while early voting began April 27 without reported shifts, underscoring Bottoms' name recognition edge from her national profile. Thurmond and Esteves draw support from labor and legislative bases, respectively, but trail amid undecided voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKeisha Lance Bottoms 64%
Mike Thurmond 20.0%
Jason Esteves 16%
Geoff Duncan 1.4%
$235,830 Vol.
$235,830 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
64%
Mike Thurmond
20%
Jason Esteves
16%
Geoff Duncan
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 64%
Mike Thurmond 20.0%
Jason Esteves 16%
Geoff Duncan 1.4%
$235,830 Vol.
$235,830 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
64%
Mike Thurmond
20%
Jason Esteves
16%
Geoff Duncan
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Ruwa Romman
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms commands a strong lead in the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary polls ahead of the May 19 contest, with recent surveys like the ERNA/Concord Public Opinion Partners poll (late March-early April) showing her at 42% among likely voters—nearly three times Mike Thurmond's 12% and ahead of state Sen. Jason Esteves at 6%—driving trader consensus to price her at 64% on Polymarket. Runoff scenarios further favor Bottoms at 56-60%, reflecting Georgia's top-two advancement rule if no candidate exceeds 50%. Recent Atlanta Press Club debates highlighted rivals battling for second place amid attack ads, while early voting began April 27 without reported shifts, underscoring Bottoms' name recognition edge from her national profile. Thurmond and Esteves draw support from labor and legislative bases, respectively, but trail amid undecided voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions